Bringing Latin America into the Mainstream: The 1963 Rio de Janeiro Conference on Inflation and Growth
回顾了1963年里约热内卢通胀与增长会议,探讨冷战地缘政治如何将拉丁美洲的慢性通胀问题纳入经济学主流议程,并影响该地区后续的货币与宏观经济分析。
Abstract In January 1963, distinguished economists from all over the world descended on Rio de Janeiro to discuss how chronic inflation interfered with the developmental prospects of Latin America. Notable figures like Hollis Chenery, Gottfried Haberler, Arnold Harberger, Roy Harrod, Albert Hirschman, Nicholas Kaldor, W. Arthur Lewis, and Dudley Seers shared conference halls for an entire week with high-profile Latin American economists. The conference has since been regarded as the peak of the controversy between monetarists and structuralists about the causes of inflation in Latin America. While local economists had been grappling with the problem of monetary stabilization for some time, the topic entered the agenda of the economics mainstream as the Cuban Revolution turned Latin America once again into a strategic security concern. The article shows how the sense of urgency generated by Cold War geopolitical considerations attracted the interest of the economics profession at large to the phenomenon of chronic inflation in Latin America. At the same time, it imposed the standards embraced by the mainstream onto a debate that had so far developed according to regional concerns and priorities. The resulting tension would shape the evolution of monetary and macroeconomic analysis in Latin America for decades to come.