贝叶斯经验似然的大样本合理性

LARGE SAMPLE JUSTIFICATIONS FOR THE BAYESIAN EMPIRICAL LIKELIHOOD

Econometric Theory · 2022
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究了贝叶斯经验似然的大样本性质,证明其渐近后验分布与参数及半参数贝叶斯方法等价,为该方法作为贝叶斯推断工具提供了理论依据。

Abstract

This study investigates the asymptotic properties of the Bayesian empirical likelihood (BEL), which uses the empirical likelihood as an alternative to a parametric likelihood for Bayesian inference. We establish two asymptotic equivalence results based on the Bernstein–von Mises (BvM) theorem by introducing a new formulation of the moment restriction model. First, the limiting posterior distribution of the BEL is the same as that of a parametric Bayesian method that uses the likelihood of a least favorable model of the moment restriction model. Second, the limiting posterior distribution is also the same as that of a semiparametric Bayesian method that places priors on both a finite-dimensional parameter of interest and an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. Because parametric and semiparametric Bayesian methods are legitimate Bayesian procedures, the equivalence results provide a large sample justification for the BEL as a Bayesian inference method. Moreover, the BvM theorem provides a frequentist justification for BEL posterior inference.

贝叶斯经验似然大样本性质伯恩斯坦-冯·米塞斯定理矩约束模型