由退化传感器连续监测的退化系统的剩余寿命

Remaining lifetime of degrading systems continuously monitored by degrading sensors

Reliability Engineering and System Safety · 2022
被引 31
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了由退化传感器连续监测的工程系统,提出结合校准传感器和最大后验估计、最大似然估计及卡尔曼滤波的方法来估计系统剩余寿命,数值模拟表明忽略传感器退化会导致显著误差。

Abstract

We consider degrading engineering systems monitored by degrading sensors. Since accurate information is crucial for predicting system health condition and the subsequent decision-making, considering the effect of sensor degradation is highly important to determine the justified reliability characteristics of systems such as the remaining useful life (RUL). Although the concept of sensor degradation has been introduced previously in the literature, the remaining useful life estimation in this case or parameter estimation in the presence of sensor degradation has not been studied in detail. To fill the gap, this study aims to estimate the RUL of a system that is continuously monitored by a degrading sensor. In this work, to distinguish sensor degradation from that of the main system, an additional calibration sensor is used to accurately inspect the system health condition at certain points of time. Subsequently, maximum-a-posteriori estimation technique is employed to estimate the parameters for the system degradation process and maximum likelihood estimation is used to estimate the parameters of sensor degradation. A Kalman filter is then used to estimate the system and sensor states, followed by system RUL evaluation. A numerical example with simulated data is employed to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. It is shown through the numerical study that neglecting sensor degradation can result in significant errors in RUL estimation, which can further impact the subsequent maintenance decisions.

可靠性工程状态监测退化建模卡尔曼滤波剩余寿命预测