房价与消费:一种新的工具变量方法

House Prices and Consumption: A New Instrumental Variables Approach

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics · 2022
被引 38
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一种类似Bartik的工具变量,利用住房特征构成与边际价格变动来估计房价对非耐用品消费的影响,弹性约为0.1,且效应集中在年轻和借贷受限家庭。

Abstract

We introduce a novel Bartik-like instrument for house prices consisting of the local composition of housing characteristics interacted with aggregate changes in the marginal prices of these characteristics. Using household-level panel data, we estimate elasticities of nondurable consumption expenditures with respect to house prices of around 0.1. These consumption effects are concentrated among the young and those most likely to be facing tight borrowing constraints. A decomposition shows that identifying variation in the instrument is associated with times and locations where house prices have varied the most: during the housing bust of the mid-2000s and in the western United States.

住房价格消费工具变量借贷约束