Does systematic tail risk matter?
从两个视角检验系统性尾部风险对预期收益的影响,发现不同代理变量导致矛盾结论,并尝试解释其原因。
Systematic tail risk is considered an important determinant of expected returns on risky assets. We examine its impact from two perspectives in a unified framework which originates from a simple asset pricing model. From the first perspective, systematic tail risk is proxied by a generalized tail dependence coefficient and is compensated with an economically sizeable and statistically significant premium. From the second perspective, systematic tail risk is proxied by the product of the same coefficient with a normalized tail risk measure and does not appear to earn a premium. We examine these contradictory findings and attempt to reconcile them. Evidence suggests that the components of our second systematic tail risk measure may be subject to common features. This finding may help explain the contradictory evidence in the literature.