Setting the record straight on the recovery from the 1920–1921 recession
利用新数据反驳了1920-21年衰退复苏是自由放任政策胜利的观点，指出复苏符合凯恩斯理论，由美联储紧缩政策引发，随后被压抑的消费和住宅支出推动，但私人债务驱动的繁荣不可持续，加剧了大萧条。
Abstract The US recovery from the 1920–21 recession has been presented as a triumph of laissez-faire policies and a serious challenge to Keynesian economics. This study interrogates this claim by using previously unutilised data and examines the historical development of the early 1920s recession and recovery. The study refutes the laissez-faire view and shows that the recovery indeed fits Keynes’s perspective. The deflationary recession was largely engineered by the Federal Reserve a la 1980s Volker disinflation. The recovery closely followed the reversal of tight monetary policy and was propelled by exceptionally long pent-up private consumption and residential spending. The recovery initiated the Roaring Twenties boom of weakened organised labour, rising income inequality and mounting private debt. This private debt-led boom proved unsustainable and was fraught with risks that contributed to the severity of the Great Depression. Although the recovery was not driven by fiscal policy, it cannot be seen as driven by price flexibility either.