Ending civil wars through fraudulent elections
研究发现,在内战僵局后的选举中,不受欢迎的执政者实施选举欺诈反而可能促进和平,国际社会防止欺诈的努力可能增加内战持续的风险。
Abstract Previous research finds a positive association between electoral fraud and post-election protests, violence, and civil conflict. This article contends that the effect of electoral fraud on peace can be heterogeneous. I investigate elections after civil wars that stalemated. My contribution is to present a theory and suggestive evidence that, in this context, electoral fraud by unpopular incumbents can be peace-promoting. An important policy implication is that international efforts to prevent electoral fraud (e.g. electoral observers), in this specific setting, may increase the odds that a civil war continues.