What Happens to Workers at Firms that Automate?
利用荷兰微观数据和自动化支出直接度量,研究发现企业自动化增加了在职工人离职概率,五年累计工资收入损失达一年收入的9%,且对小型企业、年长及中等教育工人影响更大。
Abstract We estimate the impact of firm-level automation on individual worker outcomes by combining Dutch microdata with a direct measure of automation expenditures covering all private nonfinancial sector firms. Using a novel difference-in-differences event-study design leveraging lumpy investment, we find that automation increases the probability of incumbent workers separating from their employers. Workers experience a five-year cumulative wage income loss of 9% of one year’s earnings, driven by decreases in days worked. These adverse impacts of automation are larger in smaller firms, and for older and middle-educated workers. By contrast, no such losses are found for firms’ investments in computers.