投票行为中的同质性:来自偏好投票的证据

Homophily in voting behavior: Evidence from preferential voting

Kyklos · 2023
被引 7
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

利用捷克议会选举的偏好投票数据,研究发现选民与候选人在教育水平或年龄上的相似性每增加1%,候选人获得的偏好票数分别增加0.5%和0.2%,且地理同质性效应更强。

Abstract

Abstract Homophily—the preference for people similar in their characteristics—is a strong determinant of many types of human relationships. It affects, for example, whom we marry and potentially also whom we vote for. We use data on preferential voting from eight (1996–2021) Czech parliamentary elections matched with census and administrative data to identify the effect of homophily on voting behavior. The Czech system of preferential voting is well suited to an analysis of homophilic preferences, as it enables us to filter out preferences for political parties and focus solely on candidates' individual background characteristics. We identify the effect of homophily on a sample of 6,844,538 observations from small municipalities that are not likely to be affected by potential electoral list optimization. We find that a 1 % increase in the share of a municipality's population whose education level or age are the same as the candidate's increases the number of preferential votes the given candidate receives by 0.5% or 0.2% respectively. We also find evidence for strong geographical homophily as living in the municipality substantially increases the number of preferential votes a candidate receives.

同质性投票行为偏好投票候选人特征