🌙

寻找防御性股票因子

In Search of a Defensive Equity Factor

The Journal of Portfolio Management · 2023
被引 2
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究了哪些因子适合防御型投资者,发现低杠杆、低盈利波动和低收益波动最稳定,盈利性次之但需控制杠杆,而高预测增长完全不合适。

Abstract

The authors seek to establish which factors are appropriate for defensive investors, where defensiveness is defined along three dimensions: low risk of permanent capital loss, low business cycle risk, and low market risk. They analyze a range of volatility and quality factor characteristics through both a theoretical and empirical lens, discovering that low leverage, earnings volatility, and return volatility are the most consistently defensive. Profitability is the next most powerful characteristic, though for it to be reliably defensive, leverage must be controlled for in its definition or implementation. Asset turnover and earnings quality, measured by the level of accruals, have also empirically behaved like defensive characteristics, though to a lesser extent and less consistently. Low investment had lackluster results in all tests, whereas high forecast growth is confirmed to be entirely inappropriate for defensive investors.

金融学资产定价投资策略风险管理