Not welcome anymore: the effect of electoral incentives on the reception of refugees
利用意大利市政数据，发现临近选举使市政申请设立难民中心的概率降低26%，低选举竞争和极右翼选民比例高会放大这一效应，解释了难民分布不均。
Abstract Do electoral incentives affect immigration policies? Exploiting the Italian system for refugees’ reception and data from Italian municipalities, we show that proximity to elections reduces the probability that a municipality applies to host a refugee center by 26%, despite the economic benefits arising from these centers. Low electoral competition and high shares of extreme-right voters drive the effect. Our results are rationalized by a theoretical model and can explain the unequal distribution of refugees across and within countries.