A Theory of Falling Growth and Rising Rents
提出一个理论,解释美国增长放缓与市场集中度上升的现象,认为大型企业因固定成本下降或效率优势扩张产品线,短期促进增长但长期抑制创新,导致增长放缓。
Abstract Growth has fallen in the U.S. amid a rise in firm concentration. Market share has shifted to low labour share firms, while within-firm labour shares have actually risen. We propose a theory linking these trends in which the driving force is falling overhead costs of spanning multiple products or a rising efficiency advantage of large firms. In response, the most efficient firms (with higher markups) spread into new product lines, thereby increasing concentration and generating a temporary burst of growth. Eventually, due to greater competition from efficient firms, within-firm markups and incentives to innovate fall. Thus our simple model can generate qualitative patterns in line with the observed trends.