寒潮与热浪对死亡率的影响:来自中低收入国家的证据

The impact of cold waves and heat waves on mortality: Evidence from a lower middle‐income country

Health Economics · 2023
被引 19 · 同刊同年前 5%
人大 A-

中文导读

利用越南2000-2018年日度温度和月度死亡率数据,研究发现寒潮和热浪均导致死亡率上升,尤其影响老年人和南部炎热地区居民,并估算了相关经济成本。

Abstract

We estimate the impact of temperature extremes on mortality in Vietnam, using daily data on temperatures and monthly data on mortality during the 2000-2018 period. We find that both cold and heat waves cause higher mortality, particularly among older people and those living in the hot regions in Southern Vietnam. This effect on mortality tends to be smaller in provinces with higher rates of air-conditioning and emigration, and provinces with higher public spending on health. Finally, we estimate economic cost of cold and heat waves using a framework of willingness to pay to avoid deaths, then project the cost to the year 2100 under different Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios.

极端温度死亡率越南适应措施