Navigating Policy Uncertainty: Politically Experienced Directors and Corporate Investment
研究发现,董事会中至少有一位具有政治经验的董事,能将投资决策对政策不确定性的敏感度降低49%,且效果在总统委员会任职的董事和投资不可逆性高的企业中更显著。
Previous studies show that economic policy uncertainty has been rising steadily since the 1960s (Baker et al. 2014), and that this secular increase has led to harmful economic outcomes such as reduced investment rates (Gulen and Ion 2016). Other studies find that politically connected directors play a unique role in corporate decision making and firm valuation (Goldman, Rocholl, and So 2009). We combine these two lines of research to examine the ability of politically experienced directors (PEDs) to mitigate the harmful investment effects of policy uncertainty. Our results show that the presence of at least one PED on a company board reduces the sensitivity of investment decisions to policy uncertainty by 49% relative to firms without PEDs. These results are stronger when the PED serves on a presidential (as opposed to legislative) committee, and among firms most vulnerable to investment irreversibility. We explore omitted variables bias and instrumental variable estimation in robustness testing to alleviate endogeneity concerns. Overall, our findings align with the theoretical framework of Pastor and Veronesi (2013) and real options theory, and confirm that PEDs can significantly reduce the harmful effects of policy uncertainty.