检验风险选择中的显著性效应

Testing for Salience Effects in Choices under Risk

Review of Economics and Statistics · 2023
被引 9
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

通过实验检验显著性理论在风险选择中的基本效应,发现提高相对收益对比1%相当于增加约0.4%的胜算比,结果支持连续版显著性理论。

Abstract

Abstract We construct and run an experiment to test the most basic choice effect predicted by salience theory. Subjects allocate wealth between a risky and a safe investment. While we vary an apparent payoff ratio to influence salience, treatments have economically equivalent consequences. Most other theories of behavior then predict zero effect. Our experimental findings are strongly consistent with the behavioral implication of a continuous version of salience theory. We provide a novel structural estimate on the strength of salience. In our setting, increasing the relative payoff contrast by 1% is equivalent to an increased odds ratio by about 0.4%.

风险决策显著性效应实验经济学行为经济学