节能可能致命:来自福岛核事故的证据

Energy Saving May Kill: Evidence from the Fukushima Nuclear Accident

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2023
被引 34
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究福岛核事故后日本节能运动的影响,发现节能目标显著增加了死亡率,尤其在极端高温天气,主要因人们减少空调使用。

Abstract

Following the Fukushima nuclear accident, Japan gradually shut down all its nuclear power plants, causing a countrywide power shortage. In response the government launched large-scale energy-saving campaigns to reduce electricity consumption. Exploiting the electricity-saving targets across regions and over time, we show that the campaigns significantly increased mortality, particularly during extremely hot days. The impact is primarily driven by people using less air conditioning, as encouraged by the government. Nonpecuniary incentives can explain most of the reduction in electricity consumption. Our findings suggest there exists a trade-off between climate change mitigation and climate change adaptation.

福岛核事故节能运动死亡率空调使用气候变化适应