Internal migration dynamics of native and foreign workers: an impulse–response analysis of perturbation and resilience by means of a spatial vector autoregressive model
使用德国数据与空间向量自回归模型,分析不同劳动力群体对经济冲击的迁移反应差异,揭示区域劳动力市场韧性的多面性,为地方政策制定提供依据。
Why are certain labour markets more resilient to economic shocks? Why are some economies deeply affected by migration? Modern migration theory remains based on simplistic neo-classical utility maximizing assumptions, despite a failure to fully answer real-world migration questions. The aim of this paper is to show that neo-classical dynamics are differentiated between subpopulations that make up the workforce. Using disaggregated data from Germany and a dynamic spatial vector autoregressive model that allows for spillovers, the paper teases out several aspects of regional labour market resilience. Results highlight that regions stand to benefit from supporting place-specific policies tailored to local circumstances.