行为单部门增长模型中的均衡分析

Equilibrium Analysis in Behavioural One-Sector Growth Models

Review of Economic Studies · 2023
被引 4
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

证明在单部门增长模型中,即使存在行为偏差和决策限制,长期均衡的资本劳动比变化方向仅取决于直接储蓄反应的方向,为政策分析提供了简化工具。

Abstract

Abstract Rich behavioural biases, mistakes, and limits on rational decision-making are often thought to make equilibrium analysis much more intractable. We establish that this is not the case in the context of one-sector growth models such as Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans or Bewley–Aiyagari models. We break down the response of the economy to a change in the environment or policy into two parts: the direct response at the given (pre-tax) prices, and the equilibrium response which plays out as prices change. Our main result demonstrates that under weak regularity conditions, regardless of the details of behavioural preferences, mistakes and constraints on decision-making, the long-run equilibrium will involve a greater capital-labour ratio if and only if the direct response (from the corresponding consumption-saving model) involves an increase in aggregate savings. One implication of this result is that, from a qualitative point of view, behavioural biases matter for long-run equilibrium if and only if they change the direction of the direct response. We provide detailed illustrations of how this result can be applied and generate new insights using models of misperceptions, self-control and temptation, and naive and sophisticated quasi-hyperbolic discounting.

行为增长模型均衡分析资本劳动比直接响应