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大宗商品价格冲击、劳动力市场动态与小型开放经济体的货币政策

Commodity price shocks, labour market dynamics and monetary policy in small open economies

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control · 2023
被引 13
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了通胀目标制新兴经济体如何传导大宗商品价格冲击,发现冲击导致实际汇率升值、产出和通胀上升、失业率下降,并强调劳动力市场摩擦和货币政策是关键机制。

Abstract

We analyse the transmission mechanism of commodity price shocks in inflation targeting emerging economies. Using a panel vector autoregression, we find that for a commodity exporter, the shock causes a real exchange rate appreciation, increases in output, inflation, the nominal interest rate and the trade balance, and a fall in the unemployment rate. The mechanism underlying the dynamics driving the VAR can be understood using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. Search and matching frictions in the labour market and the conduct of monetary policy are key for the model to match the data.

货币政策大宗商品价格劳动力市场小型开放经济体通货膨胀目标制