重尾但非齐普夫:美国企业及机构规模分布

Heavy tailed but not Zipf: Firm and establishment size in the United States

Journal of Applied Econometrics · 2023
被引 17
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

利用美国人口普查局保密数据,研究发现企业规模分布更符合对数正态分布或对数正态与非齐普夫帕累托分布的卷积,而非传统假设的帕累托分布,这对异质性企业模型有重要启示。

Abstract

Summary Heavy tails play an important role in modern macroeconomics and international economics. Previous work often assumes a Pareto distribution for firm size, typically with a shape parameter approaching Zipf's law. This convenient approximation has dramatic consequences for the importance of large firms in the economy. But we show that a lognormal distribution, or better yet, a convolution of a lognormal and a non‐Zipf Pareto distribution, provides a better description of the US economy, using confidential Census Bureau data. These findings hold even far in the upper tail and suggest that heterogeneous firm models should more systematically explore deviations from Zipf's law.

企业规模分布厚尾分布对数正态分布帕累托分布齐夫定律偏离