再随机化的统计功效与样本量计算

Power and sample size calculations for rerandomization

Biometrika · 2023
被引 7
ABS 4

中文导读

研究了再随机化实验中统计功效的计算方法,发现再随机化在大多数情况下比完全随机化功效更高,但在处理效应很小时可能相反,原因在于再随机化推断更保守且受处理效应异质性影响。

Abstract

Summary Power analyses are an important aspect of experimental design, because they help determine how experiments are implemented in practice. It is common to specify a desired level of power and compute the sample size necessary to obtain that power. Such calculations are well known for completely randomized experiments, but there can be many benefits to using other experimental designs. For example, it has recently been established that rerandomization, where subjects are randomized until covariate balance is obtained, increases the precision of causal effect estimators. This work establishes the power of rerandomized treatment-control experiments, thereby allowing for sample size calculators. We find the surprising result that, while power is often greater under rerandomization than complete randomization, the opposite can occur for very small treatment effects. The reason is that inference under rerandomization can be relatively more conservative, in the sense that it can have a lower Type-I error at the same nominal significance level, and this additional conservativeness adversely affects power. This surprising result is due to treatment effect heterogeneity, a quantity often ignored in power analyses. We find that heterogeneity increases power for large effect sizes, but decreases power for small effect sizes.

实验设计因果推断统计功效样本量计算