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减排目标与芬兰能源系统电气化:低碳电力转X技术的潜力、障碍与创新——一项德尔菲调查

Emission reduction targets and electrification of the Finnish energy system with low-carbon Power-to-X technologies: Potentials, barriers, and innovations – A Delphi survey

Technological Forecasting and Social Change · 2023
被引 20
ABS 3

中文导读

通过两轮德尔菲调查,研究了芬兰专家对电力转X技术实现减排目标的看法,发现尽管目标可实现,但需政治和技术变革,且芬兰将增加低碳电力消费。

Abstract

Energy systems are rapidly changing, and many promising low-carbon solutions are now available for different industries. For a society to efficiently implement these promising technologies, experts and policymakers from different fields must comprehensively understand the possibilities and barriers of these technologies. This paper investigates how experts in different fields perceive the transition by conducting two broad Delphi surveys regarding energy transition and greenhouse gas emission targets in the context of Finnish society. The focus of the research is Power-to-X technologies, the required actions and barriers for achieving emissions targets, and societal electrification. The results reveal that while it is possible to achieve the ambitious emissions targets, a variety of political and technological changes are required. It is also established that Finnish society will increase low-carbon electricity consumption in the near future. For instance, Power-to-Gas and Power-to-Fuel technologies are viewed possible technologies for achieving the targets.

能源系统减排目标电气化德尔菲法低碳技术