🌙

贝叶斯库存控制:通过探索提升加速需求学习

Bayesian Inventory Control: Accelerated Demand Learning via Exploration Boosts

Operations Research · 2023
被引 1
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究贝叶斯报童问题中,最优订货量等于短视决策加上非负的“探索提升”,并用统计不确定性指标刻画该提升的形式,揭示统计学习与库存控制如何联合优化。

Abstract

In the Bayesian newsvendor problem, it is known that the optimal decision is always greater than or equal to the myopic decision. As a result, the optimal decision can be expressed as the sum of the myopic decision plus a nonnegative “exploration boost.” In “Bayesian Inventory Control: Accelerated Demand Learning via Exploration Boosts,” Chuang and Kim characterize the form of the exploration boost in terms of basic statistical measures of uncertainty. This characterization expresses in clear terms the way in which the statistical learning and inventory control are jointly optimized; when there is a high degree of parameter uncertainty, inventory levels are boosted to induce a higher chance of observing more sales data to more quickly resolve statistical uncertainty, and as parameter uncertainty resolves, the exploration boost is reduced.

库存管理贝叶斯推断报童模型运营管理