从干预实验数据中贝叶斯学习网络结构

Bayesian learning of network structures from interventional experimental data

Biometrika · 2023
被引 3
ABS 4

中文导读

提出一个贝叶斯框架,利用部分来自随机干预的多变量数据学习有向无环图,通过先验设定得到边际似然的闭式表达,并证明在渐近条件下能恢复真实网络,适用于因果发现和蛋白质表达数据分析。

Abstract

Summary Directed acyclic graphs provide an effective framework for learning causal relationships among variables given multivariate observations. Under pure observational data, directed acyclic graphs encoding the same conditional independencies cannot be distinguished and are collected into Markov equivalence classes. In many contexts, however, observational measurements are supplemented by interventional data that improve directed acyclic graph identifiability and enhance causal effect estimation. We propose a Bayesian framework for multivariate data partially generated after stochastic interventions. To this end, we introduce an effective prior elicitation procedure leading to a closed-form expression for the directed acyclic graph marginal likelihood and guaranteeing score equivalence among directed acyclic graphs that are Markov equivalent post intervention. Under the Gaussian setting, we show, in terms of posterior ratio consistency, that the true network will be asymptotically recovered, regardless of the specific distribution of the intervened variables and of the relative asymptotic dominance between observational and interventional measurements. We validate our theoretical results via simulation and we implement a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler for posterior inference on the space of directed acyclic graphs on both synthetic and biological protein expression data.

因果推断贝叶斯网络图模型马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛有向无环图