A new channel for global volatility propagation
研究了全球因素影响本地波动率的新渠道:通过影响波动率的持续性而非期望值,发现该渠道对本地波动率变化的贡献远大于直接渠道。
We compare two channels for global impact on local volatility: the direct channel in which global variables affect the expected value of local volatility, and a new channel in which they affect local volatility persistence. Using 21 equity indices in 17 developed economies, we show that (1) global variables are the main determinants of local volatility persistence; (2) the volatility-persistence channel contributes far more to local volatility variations than the direct channel; and (3) global average return contributes far more to local volatility variations than global average volatility. The global impact on local volatility persistence help explain the commonality in global volatility dynamics.