人工智能与生产率:来自AI专利和文献计量数据的全球证据

Artificial intelligence and productivity: global evidence from AI patent and bibliometric data

TECHNOVATION · 2023
被引 141 · 同刊同年前 3%
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

分析了人工智能技术创新与宏观经济生产率之间的关系,发现AI技术发展仍是小众创新现象,对官方记录的生产率增长作用微乎其微,该结论在多种检验下稳健。

Abstract

In this paper we analyse the relationship between technological innovation in the artificial intelligence (AI) domain and macroeconomic productivity. We embed recently released data on patents and publications related to AI in an augmented model of productivity growth, which we estimate for the OECD countries and compare to an extended sample including non-OECD countries. Our estimates provide evidence in favour of the modern productivity paradox. We show that the development of AI technologies remains a niche innovation phenomenon with a negligible role in the officially recorded productivity growth process. This general result, i.e. a lack of a strong relationship between AI and registered macroeconomic productivity growth, is robust to changes in the country sample, in the way we quantify labour productivity and technology (including AI stock), in the specification of the empirical model (control variables) and in estimation methods.

人工智能生产率宏观经济学创新经济学计量经济学