自然灾害与市场操纵

Natural disasters and market manipulation

Journal of Banking & Finance · 2023
被引 36 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究发现自然灾害期间市场操纵的频率和严重程度增加,社区韧性、减灾计划和运营地点会调节这一效应,对农业、健康和制造业等行业影响更显著。

Abstract

Natural disasters exacerbate swings in investor sentiment and information asymmetry. As such, we propose natural disasters enable more frequent and severe market manipulation. We test this proposition using the securities listed in the NYSE and NASDAQ, disaster data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and surveillance industry-provided manipulation data from SMARTS, Inc. The data indicate the frequency and severity of market manipulation increases during disaster periods. Community resilience, hazard mitigation programs, and operational location moderate the effect of natural disasters on manipulation. These effects are not mechanically driven by spikes in volatility in disaster-county months. These effects are more pronounced for certain industries, including agricultural, health, and manufacturing industries. Finally, these findings are robust to alternative proxies of manipulation and various model specifications that include but are not limited to using difference-in-differences analysis.

自然灾害市场操纵投资者情绪信息不对称