可修订的竞赛

Contests with revisions

Experimental Economics · 2023
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过实验室实验研究信息泄露概率对两种竞赛(彩票竞赛和全支付拍卖)中参与者行为的影响,发现修订能力带来的战略不对称对预期支出有不同影响。

Abstract

Abstract As informational leakages become a common occurrence in economic and business settings, the impact of observability on behavior in adversarial situations assumes increased importance. Consider a two-player contest where there is a probabilistic information leak about one player’s action and the recipient of the information has the ability to revise his contest expenditure in response to the leaked rival choice. How does the ability to revise and resubmit affect each contestant’s behavior? We design a laboratory experiment to study this question for two well-known contest games: the lottery contest and the all-pay auction. Equilibrium predicts that compared to simultaneous moves, the strategic asymmetry arising from the ability to revise has no effect on expected expenditure in the lottery contest. In contrast, in the all-pay auction expected expenditure is decreasing in the probability of informational leakage. Experimental data support these predictions despite overexpenditure relative to equilibrium. Furthermore, the potential observability of the rival’s action confers an advantage on the informed player not only in the all-pay auction, as theory predicts, but also in the lottery contest if the probability of leakage is high.

信息泄露竞赛修订实验经济学全支付拍卖