混合微电网的敏感性分析及其在部署军事单位中的应用

Sensitivity analysis of hybrid microgrids with application to deployed military units

Naval Research Logistics · 2023
被引 7
ABS 3

中文导读

提出一个框架,对混合微电网设计方案进行敏感性分析,帮助决策者从多个选项中评估优劣,尤其适用于军事场景中应对天气、需求波动等不确定性。

Abstract

Abstract We introduce a framework for applying sensitivity analysis to a set of potential hybrid microgrid design options, from which a decision maker can select the most preferred one. In contrast to optimization‐centric models that define an objective and produce a single solution, our goal is to empower the decision maker by providing both a range of options and accessible information that enables the decision maker to easily assess their relative upsides and downsides. Moreover, our decoupled approach allows our framework to be paired with any existing model capable of generating a set of potential hybrid microgrid designs. We introduce metrics for computing risk, stemming from power deficits, over a variety of scenarios relating to weather conditions, power demand fluctuations, and extended time horizons. These factors which are inherently uncertain are all important in military operational contexts. By introducing a design of experiments method for sensitivity analysis, we are able to implement parallel processing and maintain computational tractability.

微电网敏感性分析军事应用决策支持电力系统