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结合疫苗接种的智能检测:用于管理COVID-19的主动采样老虎机算法

Smart Testing with Vaccination: A Bandit Algorithm for Active Sampling for Managing COVID-19

Information Systems Research · 2023
被引 7
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一种智能检测算法,通过平衡探索与利用、接触追踪和位置采样,在疫苗接种政策下将死亡率降低20%-30%,感染率降低约30%,并减轻医院高峰负荷。

Abstract

This paper presents methods to proactively choose individuals to test for infection during a pandemic such as COVID-19, characterized by high contagion and presence of asymptomatic carriers. We show that by a smart integration of exploration/exploitation balancing, contact tracing, and location-based sampling, one can effectively mitigate the disease spread and significantly reduce the infection rates and death rates. Under different vaccination policies and under different compliance levels to quarantine order and/or testing requests, our smart testing algorithm can bring down the death rate significantly by 20% to 30%, as well as the percentage of infected drops by approximately 30%. The load on hospitals at peak times, a crucial aspect of managing COVID-19, drops, by 50% when implementing smart testing. We also show how procedural fairness can be incorporated into our method and present results that show that this can be done without hurting the effectiveness of the mitigation that can be achieved.

传染病防控机器学习公共卫生COVID-19