道路网络对野火韧性评估的动态阈值

Dynamic thresholds for the resilience assessment of road traffic networks to wildfires

Reliability Engineering and System Safety · 2023
被引 31
ABS 3

中文导读

针对现有韧性评估工具在野火场景下的不足,提出一种引入动态阈值的新方法,用于评估道路网络在不同野火条件下的性能损失,并通过五个交通网络实例验证了其有效性。

Abstract

The severe effects of extreme wildfire events in recent years have shown that the fire suppression approach is not enough to solve the problem. An alternative to dealing with this issue is to accept the impossibility of eliminating wildfire hazards and focus on preparing systems to be more resilient. However, existing decision-making tools based on resilience present important drawbacks that make them inadequate for this task. This paper proposes a new approach and methodology for the resilience assessment of road traffic networks to wildfires that overcomes the main drawbacks, paying attention to the different functions of the system and the acceptance of a specific loss of performance. The latter is done through the introduction of dynamic thresholds that reflect the different requirements of the system under different wildfire conditions, including normal and extreme fires. The methodology is exemplified for five traffic networks. The results support the relevance of appropriate wildfire management through the adaptation of the natural and built environment to increase the capacity of the traffic networks to cope with wildfires.

交通工程灾害管理韧性评估野火风险