Game Theory and the First World War
评述Scott Wolford和Roger Ransom的著作,展示如何将博弈论和决策的经济理论应用于第一次世界大战问题,并探讨公共随机变量、帕累托最优协调等关键概念在战争中的应用。
Books by Scott Wolford and Roger Ransom show how economic theories of games and decisions can be fruitfully applied to problems in World War I. This vital application offers fundamental insights into the analytical methods of game theory. Public random variables may be essential factors in war-of-attrition games. An assumption that nations can coordinate on Pareto-superior equilibria may become less tenable when nations are at war. Interpreting a surprising mistake as evidence of an unlikely type can have serious consequences. The ability of leaders to foster consistent beliefs within a cohesive society can create inconsistency of beliefs between nations at war.