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基于连续时间马尔可夫链近似的可变年金中与VIX挂钩的费用激励分析

Analysis of VIX-linked fee incentives in variable annuities via continuous-time Markov chain approximation

Quantitative Finance · 2023
被引 11
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究在随机波动率模型下,可变年金合同中的VIX挂钩费用结构如何影响最优退保策略,并开发了基于连续时间马尔可夫链的高效定价算法。

Abstract

We consider the pricing of variable annuities (VAs) with general fee structures under a class of stochastic volatility models which includes the Heston, Hull-White, Scott, α-Hypergeometric, 3/2, and 4/2 models. In particular, we analyze the impact of different VIX-linked fee structures on the optimal surrender strategy of a VA contract with guaranteed minimum maturity benefit (GMMB). Under the assumption that the VA contract can be surrendered before maturity, the pricing of a VA contract corresponds to an optimal stopping problem with an unbounded, time-dependent, and discontinuous payoff function. We develop efficient algorithms for the pricing of VA contracts using a two-layer continuous-time Markov chain approximation for the fund value process. When the contract is kept until maturity and under a general fee structure, we show that the value of the contract can be approximated by a closed-form matrix expression. We also provide a quick and simple way to determine the value of early surrenders via a recursive algorithm and give an easy procedure to approximate the optimal surrender surface. We show numerically that the optimal surrender strategy is more robust to changes in the volatility of the account value when the fee is linked to the VIX index.

金融数学随机波动率最优停时可变年金马尔可夫链