Drivers of Bilateral Climate Finance Aid: The Roles of Paris Agreement Commitments, Public Governance, and Multilateral Institutions
利用2010-2018年OECD数据,区分适应与减缓措施,采用双栏模型分析巴黎协定承诺和治理能力如何影响国际气候援助的获取。发现提交国家自主贡献当年有短期援助增加,公共行政质量促进适应资金获取,多边机构催化双边援助。
Abstract Using granular data from the OECD from 2010 to 2018 that differentiate between adaptation and mitigation measures to address climate change, we employed a double-hurdle model to examine whether countries’ Paris Agreement commitments and governance capacity help attract international climate-change-related financial aid. We found that (1) countries received a short-term aid boost in the year when they submitted the nationally determined contribution, and countries that committed only to action targets rather than emission goals were more likely to receive funds; (2) both the quality of the budget and financial management and the quality of public administration significantly enhanced the likelihood of receiving aid, but only the quality of public administration contributed to attracting funding for adaptations; and (3) multilateral institutions played catalytic roles in fostering bilateral international climate-change aid, particularly by increasing the likelihood of funding.