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基于预训练CNN和递归图的趋势与季节性特征提取

Trend and seasonality features extraction with pre-trained CNN and recurrence plot

International Journal of Production Research · 2023
被引 6
ABS 3

中文导读

提出用预训练卷积神经网络GoogLeNet处理递归图生成的时间序列图像,提取趋势和季节性特征,在模拟数据和M3竞赛数据上验证了该方法优于直接使用时间序列图。

Abstract

GoogLeNet is a pre-trained Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) that allows transfer learning and has achieved high recognition rates in image classification tasks. A Recurrence Plot (RP) is an imaging method that depicts the recurrence of the state space system using coloured points and lines in 2D images. This work contributes to facilitating time series feature extraction by proposing a method that applies the GoogLeNet to time series images obtained with RP. The developed method is tested using simulated time series and selected time series from the M3 competition dataset. The results shows that the transfer learning approach allowed the extraction of business time series features by means of a GoogLeNet fine-tuned using 100 simulated time series. The combination of GoogLeNet and RPs outperforms the alternative and easier combination of GoogLeNet and plots of the time series and support the convenience of the RP transformation step. This application of deep learning techniques to business time series imaging offers opportunity for further developments.

时间序列分析深度学习特征提取商业预测