欧洲碳税的宏观经济影响

The Macroeconomic Impact of Europe’s Carbon Taxes

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics · 2023
被引 97 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

基于欧洲多国30年碳税数据,研究发现碳税并未对GDP和就业增长产生负面影响,反而有零到小幅正面影响,并带来4%至6%的累计减排。

Abstract

We estimate the macroeconomic impacts of carbon taxes on GDP and employment growth rates using 30 years of data on carbon taxation in various European countries. We find no evidence for a negative impact on employment or GDP growth but rather find a zero to modest positive impact. We also find a cumulative emissions reduction on the order of 4 to 6 percent for a $40/ton CO 2 tax covering 30 percent of emissions. Reductions would likely be greater for a broad-based US carbon tax since European carbon taxes typically do not cover those sectors with the lowest marginal abatement costs.

碳税宏观经济影响GDP增长就业增长碳排放