稀疏协方差的后处理后验分布

Post-processed posteriors for sparse covariances

Journal of Econometrics · 2023
被引 2
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一种两步法后处理后验分布,先获取共轭逆Wishart后验样本,再通过广义阈值函数施加稀疏结构,在高维设置下达到最优极小化收敛速度,并应用于近似因子模型的稀疏特质协方差估计。

Abstract

We consider Bayesian inference of sparse covariance matrices and propose a post-processed posterior. This method consists of two steps. In the first step, posterior samples are obtained from the conjugate inverse-Wishart posterior without considering the sparse structural assumption. The posterior samples are transformed in the second step to satisfy the sparse structural assumption through a generalized thresholding function. This non-traditional Bayesian procedure is justified by showing that the post-processed posterior attains the optimal minimax rates under the spectral norm loss in high-dimensional settings. We also propose the post-processed posterior for contaminated data and apply it to the estimation of the sparse idiosyncratic covariance of the approximate factor model. The advantages of our method are demonstrated via a simulation study and a real data analysis with S&P 500 data.

后处理贝叶斯推断稀疏协方差矩阵广义阈值函数最优极小化收敛速度