Early-Life Exposure to the Great Depression and Long-Term Health and Economic Outcomes
利用大萧条期间各州年份差异,研究发现早年经历经济衰退会导致成年后劳动市场表现更差,老年时经济状况、患病率和死亡率也更糟,且随年龄增长差距扩大。
Using state-year-level variation from the Great Depression we show that adverse economic conditions experienced in early life are associated with worse labor market outcomes in prime-age years and worse economic wellbeing, morbidity, and mortality at older ages. These effects become more pronounced as surviving cohort members age, suggesting disparities in the acceleration of age-related physiological damage. Using multiple data sources, we analyze potential mechanisms in childhood and midlife. After evaluating changes in fertility and mortality rates for Depression-era birth cohorts, we conclude that these effects likely represent lower bound estimates of the true impacts of the economic shock on long-term outcomes.