货币联盟中的政策组合:谁承担了非对称冲击稳定的负担?

The policy mix in a monetary union: Who bears the burden of asymmetric shocks' stabilisation?

International Journal of Finance and Economics · 2023
被引 1
ABS 3

中文导读

研究货币联盟中货币与财政当局战略互动下,不同制度安排和冲击配置中谁承担非对称冲击稳定的负担,发现核心/外围财政体制下冲击会传递至通胀和产出缺口,协调财政政策为最优。

Abstract

Abstract We utilise a standard reduced‐form neo‐Keynesian model in a monetary union, in which the monetary authority and the fiscal authorities strategically interact, to explore who, under alternative institutional arrangements (strategic and fiscal regimes) and shocks' configurations, bears the burden of asymmetric shocks' stabilisation. We show that in the core/periphery fiscal regime, described by an asymmetry in the sequence of moves between the core and the peripheral member‐states, asymmetric shocks pass through at the union level to the inflation rate and the output gap when there are strategically significant spill‐over effects and the monetary policy's and fiscal policies' instruments are not perfect substitutes in the stabilisation process. The monetary authority reacts to asymmetric shocks, but does not succeed in fully offsetting them. The first best implies the coordination of fiscal policies. A second best embraces the fiscal leadership strategic regime (as a form of implicit coordination), when there are strong interconnections in the union, or the use of policy instruments by the fiscal authorities that directly decrease inflation when fiscal policy is expansionary, such as taxes, production subsidies or public investment, when there is a strong cost channel of monetary policy.

货币经济学财政政策货币政策新凯恩斯经济学宏观经济学