Harvesting the volatility smile in a large emerging market: A Dynamic Nelson–Siegel approach
研究了动态Nelson-Siegel方法在期权交易中的应用,发现动态模型在构建多空组合时比静态模型获得更高平均收益和夏普比率,对量化交易者有用。
Abstract While there is a large literature on modeling volatility smile in options markets, most such studies are eventually focused on the forecasting performance of the model parameters and not on the applicability of the models in a trading environment. Drawing on the analogy of volatility smile like a term structure in the context of interest rates in fixed‐income markets, we evaluate the performance of the Dynamic Nelson–Siegel (DNS) approach to modeling the dynamics of volatility smile in a trading environment against competing alternatives. Using model‐based mispricing as our sorting criterion, and deploying a trading strategy of going long the options in the upper deciles and going short the options in the lower deciles, we show that dynamic models consistently outperform their static counterparts, with the worst dynamic model outperforming the best static model in terms of the percentage of mean returns from the trading portfolios and the Sharpe ratio. Specifically, we find that the DNS model consistently outperforms all other competing specifications on most of our selected criteria.