一致自证均衡

Uniformly self-justified equilibria

Journal of Economic Theory · 2023
被引 1
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一致自证均衡概念,要求个体预测函数属于紧致有限维函数集且构成均衡对应的最佳一致逼近,证明其总是存在并给出简单算法,应用于随机世代交叠交换经济。

Abstract

We consider dynamic stochastic economies with heterogeneous agents and introduce the concept of uniformly self-justified equilibria (USJE)—temporary equilibria for which expectations satisfy the following rationality requirements: i) individuals' forecasting functions for the next period's endogenous variables are assumed to lie in a compact, finite-dimensional set of functions, and ii) the forecasts constitute the best uniform approximation to a selection of the equilibrium correspondence. We show that in contrast to rational expectations equilibria, USJE always exist, and we develop a simple algorithm to compute them. As an application, we discuss a stochastic overlapping generations exchange economy. We give an example where recursive (rational expectations) equilibria fail to exist and explain how to construct USJE for that example. In addition, we provide numerical examples to illustrate our computational method.

均匀自证均衡异质性主体动态随机经济理性预期