招聘快是好兆头吗?职位空缺时长对未来公司盈利能力的预测价值

Is hiring fast a good sign? The informativeness of job vacancy duration for future firm profitability

Review of Accounting Studies · 2023
被引 13
人大 A-FT50ABS 4

中文导读

研究发现,低技能岗位招聘快、高技能岗位招聘慢的公司未来盈利能力更强,这反映了公司的招聘策略,且资本市场未及时吸收这一信息。

Abstract

Abstract Job vacancy duration reflects the time a firm spends searching, selecting, and hiring for a job opening. Capturing vacancy duration using the creation and deletion dates of job postings by US public firms, we examine the informativeness of vacancy duration for future firm profitability. We find that while firms that quickly fill low-skill job vacancies exhibit higher future profitability, firms that take more time to fill high-skill jobs exhibit higher future profitability. Our cross-sectional analyses across the benefits and costs of candidate selection and performance expectations suggest that the informativeness of vacancy duration comes from its reflection of firms’ hiring strategies. That is, firms expecting higher profitability recruit more intensively to avoid the opportunity cost associated with vacancies for low-skill jobs and to ensure the selection of high-quality workers for high-skill jobs. Further analyses show that the implication of job vacancy duration for future profitability is not incorporated timely in the capital markets, as evidenced by pessimistic analyst forecasts and positive earnings announcement returns in future quarters for firms with short (long) durations for low-skill (high-skill) jobs. These results demonstrate the informativeness of job vacancy duration for firm profitability and advance the understanding of firms’ hiring strategies.

职位空缺时长企业盈利能力招聘策略劳动力市场信号