Extreme Changes in Changes
针对传统双重差分变化估计器在极端分位效果不佳的问题,提出新的极端分位估计器,并给出简单推断方法,适用于政策分析中关注极端结果(如极低出生体重婴儿)的场景。
Policy analysts are often interested in treating the units with extreme outcomes, such as infants with extremely low birth weights. Existing changes-in-changes (CIC) estimators are tailored to middle quantiles and do not work well for such subpopulations. This article proposes a new CIC estimator to accurately estimate treatment effects at extreme quantiles. With its asymptotic normality, we also propose a method of statistical inference, which is simple to implement. Based on simulation studies, we propose to use our extreme CIC estimator for extreme quantiles, while the conventional CIC estimator should be used for intermediate quantiles. Applying the proposed method, we study the effects of income gains from the 1993 EITC reform on infant birth weights for those in the most critical conditions. This article is accompanied by a Stata command.