Terrorism and child mortality
研究了2000-2017年间52个非洲国家恐怖主义活动对5岁以下儿童死亡率的影响,发现恐怖主义通过引发父母、医护人员和政策制定者的负面行为反应,间接导致每年数千名额外儿童死亡。
How does terrorism affect child mortality? We use geo-coded data on terrorism and spatially disaggregated data on child mortality to study the relationship between both variables for 52 African countries between 2000 and 2017 at the 0.5 × 0.5° grid level. Our estimates suggest that moderate increases in terrorism are linked to several thousand additional annual deaths of children under the age of five. A panel event-study points to economic effects that are larger and compound over time. Interrogating our data, we show that the direct impact of terrorism tends to be very small. Instead, we theorize that terrorism causes child mortality primarily by triggering adverse behavioral responses by parents, medical workers, and policymakers. We provide tentative evidence in support of this argument.