Persistent Agricultural Shocks and Child Poverty
利用埃塞俄比亚2002-2016年五轮面板数据，研究持续性农业冲击对5-22岁青少年教育、健康和劳动的影响，发现冲击降低入学率和学习时间、损害健康、增加劳动参与，家庭财富可缓冲教育影响但富裕家庭儿童更易加入农业劳动。
This study shows how persistent agricultural shocks in Ethiopia affect education, health and labor outcomes through a time-use study of young people aged 5-22. Leveraging five rounds of the Young Lives Study from 2002-2016, we use dynamic panel instrumental variable regressions to account for the unobserved heterogeneity and serial correlation in the estimation. Agricultural shocks significantly reduce schooling participation and time spent in schooling, deteriorate health, and increase both labor force participation and labor time. Household wealth acts as a buffer and mitigates the adverse effects of shocks on schooling. Interestingly, children from wealthier households have a higher likelihood of joining agricultural labor during shocks, but their intensity of child labor is significantly lower compared to poorer households.