Change point detection of multimode processes considering both mode transitions and parameter changes
针对多模态过程中同时存在的模式转换和参数变化两类变点，提出一个离线检测框架，通过优化模型和迭代算法实现变点、模式及参数的准确识别，对风电等工业过程监控有实际价值。
Multimode processes are common in modern industry and refer to processes that work in multiple operating modes. Motivated by the torque control process of a wind turbine, we determine that there exist two types of changes in multimode processes: (i) mode transitions and (ii) parameter changes. Detecting both types of changes is an important issue in practice, but existing methods mainly consider one type of change, and thus, do not work well. To address this issue, we propose a novel modeling framework for the offline change point detection problem of multimode processes, which simultaneously considers mode transitions and parameter changes. We characterize each mode with a parametric cost function and formulate the problem as an optimization model. In the model, two penalty terms penalize the number of change points, and a series of constraints specify the multimode characteristics. With certain assumptions, the asymptotic property ensures the accuracy of the model solution. To solve the model, we propose an iterative algorithm and develop a multimode-pruned exact linear time (multi-PELT) method for initialization. The simulation study and the real case study demonstrate the effectiveness of our method against the state-of-the-art methods in terms of the accuracy of change point detection, mode identification, and parameter estimation.