Conditional cash transfers and women's reproductive choices
研究秘鲁Juntos有条件现金转移项目对成年受益者生育决策的非目标影响,发现项目减少了生育数量,且效果持续,原因在于女性获得更多现代避孕手段。
We study potential non-targeted effects of a large-scale national conditional cash transfer program-Peru's Juntos-on the fertility and reproductive decisions of adult beneficiaries. We use an event study design, exploiting time and geographic variation in the rollout of the program, to identify the causal effects of the program. We find that Juntos decreases the number of children that adult beneficiaries have and that these effects persist over time. We explore various mechanisms and find that Juntos does not affect fertility preferences but rather empowers women to avoid unwanted births. We provide evidence that this decrease is most likely due to better access to and more extensive use of modern birth control methods.