美国人如何应对家庭财富和非劳动收入的特殊外生变化

How Americans Respond to Idiosyncratic and Exogenous Changes in Household Wealth and Unearned Income

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2023
被引 53
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

利用美国彩票中奖者行政数据,研究发现每增加1美元非劳动收入,家庭劳动收入减少约50美分,消费增加60美分,且高收入群体劳动收入减少更多。

Abstract

Abstract We study how Americans respond to idiosyncratic and exogenous changes in household wealth and unearned income. Our analyses combine administrative data on U.S. lottery winners with an event study design. We first examine individual and household earnings responses to these windfall gains, finding significant and sizable wealth and income effects. On average, an extra ${\$}$1 of unearned income in a given period reduces household labor earnings by about 50 cents, decreases total labor taxes by 10 cents, and increases consumption expenditure by 60 cents. These effects are heterogeneous across the income distribution, with households in higher quartiles of the income distribution reducing their earnings by a larger amount. Next we examine margins of adjustment other than earnings and, in the course of doing so, address a number of important economic questions about how additional wealth or unearned income affect retirement decisions and labor market dynamics, family formation and dissolution, entrepreneurship and self-employment, and geographic mobility and neighborhood choice. Last, we carefully compare our findings to those reported in existing lottery studies. This comparison reveals that existing U.S. studies substantially underestimate wealth and income effects because they use measures that understate the earnings responses and overstate the after-tax wealth changes associated with lottery wins.

彩票中奖财富效应劳动供给收入效应