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金融网络结构与系统性风险

Financial network structure and systemic risk

European Journal of Finance · 2023
被引 16
ABS 3

中文导读

以标普500成分股为样本,研究金融网络中心性对下一季度系统性风险的影响,发现中心性越高的企业,其脆弱性和对系统性风险的贡献都越大,且该效应在金融企业和经济衰退期更显著。

Abstract

For systemic risk, the impact of the financial network's characteristics remains imperfectly understood at best, even if the view that network structure is closely related to systemic risk has become a broad consensus. By choosing S&P 500 constituents as the research sample, we investigate the structural characteristics of the Engle-Granger networks and explore the impact of network centrality on one-quarter-ahead systemic risk. We find that a firm's network centrality is positively related to both dimensions of its systemic risk (i.e. the firm's vulnerability to, and contribution to, system-wide downturns). The results remain robust after we consider the potential endogeneity and various sensitivity checks. An examination of potential channels reveals that centrally located firms in the network have a high extent of co-movement with the market, and are likely to trigger systemic market failures caused by stock price crashes in clusters once they fall into a downturn. We further show that the positive relation between network centrality and future systemic risk is more salient for financial firms and more pronounced during recessions.

系统性风险网络中心性金融网络金融危机