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成年死亡率上升对金融和精算产品的影响分析

Analysing the impact of rising mortality in adult ages on financial and actuarial products

Economics Letters · 2023
被引 4
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究了2010年以来成年死亡率下降趋势逆转对一年期寿险和终身年金的经济影响,发现年金产品成本节约而风险保险成本超支,覆盖12个国家。

Abstract

A reversal in the trend seen since 2010 of a reduction in adult mortality holds significant economic and financial implications. Mortality and longevity models applied in 2010 projected central death rates that have not materialized, resulting in measurable economic effects. This study examines the economic consequences of two financial-actuarial products— a year-term life insurance and life annuities— in light of the worsening central death rates within the 55-70 age bracket. Conducted across twelve countries (Australia, Canada, Denmark, France, Greece, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States), the research demonstrates substantial cost savings in annuity products and cost overruns in risk insurance products.

精算学人口经济学保险养老金金融